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Old May 29, 2007, 09:35 PM // 21:35   #21
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well, I think a better way of doing the math (and the 342435th example of Anet using poor terminology) is: not twice the chance to get rares, but half the chance NOT to get rares
ie, 1/2 of 30% chance NOT to = 85% rare drop rate

edit: looks like Zinger beat me to it
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Old May 29, 2007, 09:40 PM // 21:40   #22
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Cool I will be chest running for sure, But A-net please NO MORE uber skin weapons with no damage mods attached PLEASE!

P.S. WTS Gold Sephis Axe Req 9 with no damage mod at all
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Old May 29, 2007, 10:11 PM // 22:11   #23
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ah time to get keys and see if I can finally get a celestial staff.....more napuli for me!
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Old May 29, 2007, 10:45 PM // 22:45   #24
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yay finally a more 'useful' weekend!

maybe i'll do chest running in FoW for shadow weps

Desolation as well since i want some inscribable gold!

And i prefer mango/pineapple/banana than grapes...
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Old May 29, 2007, 10:56 PM // 22:56   #25
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...or maybe the people doing the math at A.Net aren't retarded and it's actually a doubled rare chance?
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Old May 29, 2007, 10:58 PM // 22:58   #26
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nekretaal
Is this such a good weekend? Unlocked chests give approximately a 70% chance of giving a gold item. Double this is what, an 80% chance to get a gold item? That % increase is not worth worriying about, even if you are grinding out the titles. Plus lockpick offer a lot of normal tomes (a waste) and elite tomes (easy to sell but wolnt help your title... and this weekend will devalue them as they are a fairly common loot from chests)

You'll get a much better bang for your buck... opening normal mode chests...

Also, lockpicks are not exempt from loot scaling so spending the weekend farming them isnt really the best idea.
Next time someone hands me a $20, I'll make sure to complain about it not being a $100.

Seriously though, this is a great weekend, specially for us jarin farmers. I'm already making 1 lockpick a week while opening every chest I see.

Diantral
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Old May 29, 2007, 11:05 PM // 23:05   #27
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Woot! Finally!

*stocks up on lockpicks*

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Old May 29, 2007, 11:09 PM // 23:09   #28
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Argh! I can't play this weekend!!!

Too... bad... for those who can't participate, eh?
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Old May 29, 2007, 11:10 PM // 23:10   #29
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Zinger314
Double chance of gold = half chance of purple.

If chance of Gold = 70%, then chance of purple = 30%.

Therefore, with the weekend in effect:

Half chance of purple = 30%/2 = 15%

Therefore, there's a 85% chance of a gold, and a 15% chance of purple.
WRONG.

If the chance of gold is 70%, you double that, you get 140% chance of a gold drop. This means that, when you open a chest, you get a gold item and a 40% of getting ANOTHER gold item. HOLY SHIT!! TWO GOLD ITEMS IN ONE CHEST, YOU HEARD IT HERE FIRST.

But! Since 140% is already 40% over 100%, where will the remaining 15% chance go? ...*gasp*

Ladies and gentlemen, expect purple items to fall from the sky this coming weekend.
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Old May 29, 2007, 11:17 PM // 23:17   #30
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its always the weekends im busy that are the best doubles now i have to hope my plans for new york city get cancelled ROFL what a sad day for me
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Old May 29, 2007, 11:33 PM // 23:33   #31
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I'll definitely be chest running this weekend.I made about 2 mil off the last chest event,but it was before the chest nerf
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Old May 29, 2007, 11:48 PM // 23:48   #32
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Yay, more golds coming into the already overflowing economy!
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Old May 30, 2007, 01:53 AM // 01:53   #33
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Time to crash the gold items economy.
Nice event overall, but let see how many junks gold we will get
WTS Colossal 5k
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Old May 30, 2007, 01:55 AM // 01:55   #34
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Woohoo! A weekend that gets me excited is coming.
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Old May 30, 2007, 02:40 AM // 02:40   #35
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Man too bad prom falls on this weekend. I absolutely love chest farming. Oh well, maybe next time.
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Old May 30, 2007, 02:48 AM // 02:48   #36
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If we werent having a gold item overflood huge enough...

This event won't only double the gold item flooding the market, it will have effect like x10 or more! Just think about those masses that don't usually chestrun but will do it now, and all those hardcore chestrunners who will run whole weekend, much more than they usually do....

HardMode already made most decent skinned req9 inscribable golds not worth WTSing. Stuff that was selling reasonably well ~3 months ago is now straight merchant food. There's no demand for golds anymore.

I think i liked the double lucky weekend more, at least i ran from rank 0 to rank 2 lucky in 2 days.
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Old May 30, 2007, 02:55 AM // 02:55   #37
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Theus
I think the real question is,will this get people to actually play Hardmode?
I play the Deep in Hard Mode, does that count?
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Old May 30, 2007, 03:23 AM // 03:23   #38
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I chest ran the hell out of Raisu Palace last time they did one of these. Made a nice sum of money. Too bad I don't have much on my account right now to buy loads of keys like I did last time...
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Old May 30, 2007, 03:27 AM // 03:27   #39
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Yawgmoth
I think i liked the double lucky weekend more, at least i ran from rank 0 to rank 2 lucky in 2 days.
Wow. How long did you run, and how much did you spend on keys? 24/7 for 2 days? Amazing. R0-R2, you must have patience that most of us don't

This will drive items price down more. I think anet seriously want all items below 100k.
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Old May 30, 2007, 03:38 AM // 03:38   #40
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Sounds like a great way to lose money this weekend... spend 1.3k-1.5k on a lockpick (80-90% chance it will break) and get a worthless gold item that you sell to merchant for 200-300g or sell unidentified for 700-800g (if you are lucky). Net loss per chest is 500g-1.2k depending on what you do with your golds. Hard mode made golds drop like rain and hardly any skins are worth anything anymore. Ovenight the GW economy experienced hypergold inflation with the hard mode and deflation (prices dropping) with gold coin drop nerfs. We see this reflected everywhere from golds going to the merchant now (I have sold about 150 golds to the merchant in the last 10 days easy and have 5 storage characters completely full with golds I was too lazy to deal with and never bothered to id and now am too overwhelmed to even start on them cuz I have so many... ), ectos in the toilet, rare skins worthless, and once rare mods dropping every day in price.

I think you would be a fool to spend 100k on lockpicks or keys this weekend. You will not make your money back like we used to just a couple of months ago. The economy has changed and those who do not realize it will be poorer come Monday. Expect a net loss of 500g-1.2k for every lockpick you buy or more. You might break even with sub 600g keys, but I doubt it. You won't get anything good in a sub 600g key and you won't be able to sell an even less desirable gold anyway.

Perhaps this is ANET's sneaky way of sucking some currency out of the economy from people who made money in the past doing this and have fantasies of doing it again. I was one who made some nice coin in the past, but I will not be wasting money on keys this weekend.

Guild wars has changed from a game of playing and trading, to just a game of playing. When all items are common and easy to get, the trading aspect of the game is gone. We are there now. Don't waste your weekend farming thinking you will get rich because you won't. Anet ruined one of the best parts of the game (the trading and the economy), so just have fun and play the game instead this weekend.
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